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The rain that we are experiencing is not unprecedented as claimed.

The LSM is at it again. Everything that happens weatherwise these days is always unprecedented. The USA has just experienced more tragic tornadoes and the UK press claim that this is somehow “unprecedented”. They are simply wrong. However, it is here in Australia where we are experiencing heavy rain and floods that I am addressing.

According to this report, an 1886 record is set to be broken. In terms of the rain that has fallen that might in fact be correct. I will wait and check out the actual statistics because I do not trust the journalists to get this information correct. In the same report the journalist yabbers on about the rain being unprecedented, and reports someone stating that you have to go back 20 to 30 years for something similar. Actually, it is more than 30 years since the floodgates of the Warragamba dam were opened. I believe that it also happened in the early 1980s, it most definitely did not happen in the 1990s or the 2000s. It happened at this time of year in 1978.

How do I know? Because I lived through the rains and the flooding of the Hawkesbury-Nepean rivers. At the time I had just given birth to my oldest son, and had returned to South Windsor from Melbourne. My son was due to be baptized at the Easter Vigil and we had family coming in from other parts of NSW and Victoria to attend the Baptism. In 1978 we had the same relentless rain for more than 1 week. It was very heavy rain, and it was a rain that was set-in, meaning that there was very little let up in the rains.  The floods in 1978 were quite serious. There were several people who died as a result of those floods, including a 15 year old boy who died whilst trying to rescue people. There was a tide mark on the Jolly Green Frog, the hotel that is at the entrance way to Windsor and near McGrath’s hill. That tide mark was from the 1978 floods.

We lived in South Windsor at the time, in RAAF married quarters. Our house was not subjected to flooding, but further down the same street, and then in streets that were parallel to Cox Street, several of the married quarters were flooded.  We were not entirely cut off, and we could get to Windsor, but we could not get into Richmond because of the flood waters. There was one route that was open between South Windsor and Penrith via the Chain of Ponds road. 

What I want to emphasize here is that even the golf course that was at the back of our house went under water. The same was true for the houses at the end of George Street. They went under water. In fact I was shocked to see estates being built on land that was under water in the 1978 flood. At the time my husband’s squadron, 486, were detailed to help with the evacuations. There were some very ungrateful civilians at the time, and they were quite abusive considering that these men were giving their time to help them keept their goods dry!

To claim that the rain and the floods is unprecedented in my view is absolute tommy rot. Considering that this is not the first flood in the region, it is just ridiculous to use that kind of language. Also, the floods in the district were well-known. That is why Governor Macquarie designated the five towns where people could live on high ground and not be affected by floods. Building in those flood plains is a really stupid idea.

 
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Posted by on March 3, 2012 in Uncategorized

 

Too much snow in Alaska?

Snow = cold and if you have arthritis it also equals chilled bones. In other words when there is snow around it is bone chilling cold!!  Alaska is a place that normally gets snow in winter, but it seems that Alaska is getting too much snow at the present time!!

This article explains what is happening and the reason for the snow dumps:

The record snowfall is the result of two atmospheric patterns “that are conspiring to send an unending series of storms into Alaska,” said Jeff Masters, a meteorologist who runs Weather Underground, a meteorology service that tracks strange and extreme weather.

For the second winter in a row, the Pacific weather phenomenon known as La Nina is affecting the weather. But instead of plentiful snow in the Lower 48, Alaska is getting slammed because of the second weather pattern.

That’s called the Arctic Oscillation and it has been strong this year, changing air patterns to the south and keeping the coldest winter air locked up in the Arctic.

 

 

 
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Posted by on January 14, 2012 in Uncategorized

 

Now they are claiming that winter will not be the same… WTF!!

I was led to this post from Tom Nelson via Climate Depot. The statement is not from Tom Nelson but from a warmista by the name of Bryan Walsh. It is the latest in some of the most outrageous of statements about what is NOT happening because of normal climatic changes. Please note, I am not a climate denier, I am a realist and I use observation rather than relying on the claptrap that spews forth nearly every day from warmistas.

I will use the Australian example because I am most familiar with my own country. We are presently in the middle of summer. This morning the temperature in Canberra was 2C. Such a low temperature in the middle of summer is very unusual. Last year was also quite unusual with the onset of winter beginning towards the end of March instead of by the end of April. If anything and there is a shift then it is a shift in the timing of winter, but I do not believe that is really the case at all. Australia is being affected by the El Nino which has brought with it more rains as well as a much colder interior at this time of year. 

I am going to bet that any further hot days will come towards the end of January and early-mid February, which again will not be unusual. After all many of the record temperatures have been set in mid-January through to mid-February, including the high in January 1959, and ditto for 1939.

Again, using Canberra as the example, and relating to last year, we had record low winter temperatures in 2011. Since it is rare to have snow, and yes it has snowed in Canberra, this is not an issue with regard to the weather patterns. However, Cooma, which is a part of the ski resort in the Snowy Mountains had record snowfalls last year with a bumper and early start to the season. This explains the low temperatures in Canberra last year.

Winter 2011 in Canberra was bone chilling cold. This means that for someone with arthritis the cold penetrated right through to the bones. It was very unpleasant and it did not stop until well into spring – even then with a cold start to summer the situation has not improved all that much.

However, let’s focus on a couple of other countries where there is snow during winter. This will not change at all in the near future. Take for example Lake Louise in Canada. One month can make a very big difference with regard to the conditions experienced. We visited Lake Louise in July 2009 and we experienced temperatures that were close to 100F, yet our friends visited in August 2008 and they experienced snow!!!!!

I should add here that during that 2009 trip it was very hot in Hartford Conneticutt, it was cool in Montreal, Canada, and it was hot in Lake Louise and Banff, as well as Vancouver. Seattle had a record high temperature on the day that we passed through that city, and it was very hot on the train heading from Seattle to Los Angeles. That is what one expects during a summer.

Weather patterns vary quite a lot in a number of regions, and to cite another example, I will use Yosemite National Park and Nevada. This goes back to 1985 when we spent a week in Sacramento and ended up travelling around to various spots including Reno. Whilst in Sacramento in September/October 1985 the weather was quite warm. The day that we went to Reno it was hot, yet the next day the snow had started to fall. Yosemite was very cool and dreary on the day that we had our visit.

What is so ludicrous about the kind of statements that are uttered by warmistas is that they never seem to be in touch with reality. Look what happened in 2009 when the Copenhagen conference took place. There was a record cold temperatures accompanied by lots of snow and blizzards in Copenhagen, across Europe, the USA and especially the U.K. This was repeated the following year as well. This year the U.K had a warmer start to winter, whilst here in Australia we had a cold start to the summer, but it did not take long before the snow began to fall in the northern part of the country.

What this really means that it will be a long time before anyone can confidently predict weather patterns in the future. In fact the weather bureaux around the world have a very hard time predicting the weather conditions from day to day, so how on earth can anyone confidently state that “winter will not be the same”.  It is balderdash!!

 
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Posted by on January 12, 2012 in Uncategorized

 

Climate scaremongering and Malthus

What has Malthus got in common with modern “climate change” scaremongers? First of all the political and economic theories of Malthus were about population control. This is also true for the likes of David Suzuki, Holdren, and a vast number of the cult of Gaia who worship at the alter of Al Gore. The desire for population control is the hidden agenda of the scaremongers. The people behind the NGOs such as Greenpeace could not care less about those who might be starving in Africa. This becomes very clear when Greenpeace deliberate destroys experimental crops that are being designed to be drought resistant.

Second, the scaremongers actually want to send us all back to the dark ages where  we are not able to move about freely. They want to control the means of production and they want to control what we eat, where we can travel and even what we wear, all in the name of their cult of Gaia.  Helping the poor in Africa is not their real aim, rather it is to control those populations that they deem to be excessive, just like Malthus proposed.

So what exactly is Malthusian theory? In a nutshell it is a theory that is based upon diminishing returns. In other words he claimed that there is a point where, if the population is allowed to expand and the world become over-populated, then just like in the animal and plant kingdoms we will end up not having enough food to eat and that this will lead to starvation. My point is that Malthus was wrong because unlike animals, humans have the ability to adapt and he ability to use ingenuity to overcome adversities.

More to the point though, Malthus formed his theory in a backdrop of change in England and Europe in particular. This was the historical period of the Agrarian and the Industrial revolution. It was a period of massive change, especially for the peasants who were forced out of their homes and off the land because of the move towards land enclosure. What Malthus was unable to predict was that this forced land enclosure would lead to not, diminishing returns for agricultural products, but an increase in production, with a surplus being available for trade. This was the period in which farming techniques began to undergo rapid change.

This was also the period of the Industrial Revolution, which was an incredible period for inventions that changed the methods of production and distribution forever. For example, Hargreaves invented the spinning jenny which meant that cloth spun out of cotton became cheaper, and this meant that cotton items became available to all classes of people, not just the upper class elite and wealthy merchants. Other inventions included the steam engine and the water frame. It is worth nothing that at this point in time the energy required to drive the water frame was derived via water power (a watermill?). 

As the peasants were displaced on the land, the moved to the cities, and in some cases they migrated to far away lands, such as the USA, Canada and Australia. They brought their new found knowledge with them. One example of this innovation, other than with cotton, is that of the lacemaking industry. Lace used to be made on a pillow using a pricking, thread and bobbins, and the work was hard on the eyes of the lacemakers, especially in an era when there was no electricity and workers used candelight. With the industrial revolution underway the industry underwent change and machines made lace soon became available. Engineers were required to look after the machines. Some of these lacemakers found their way to Australia, and what is interesting is that the engineers who had cared for the lace machines turned their engineering skills towards other construction projects. One area where they migrated to in Australia was Morpeth which is close to Maitland.  Innovation was the name of the game.

When Malthus was alive Australia had not yet been discovered, thus Malthus was also wrong because he had no knowledge of the land that was available for population expansion. There was in fact plenty of room in the world for the population to expand. Also, at that stage the Americas were largely unexplored, meaning that large tracts of land, suitable for expanding migration were available.

The human race has always proved to be very adaptable and thus Malthus was wrong because he did not account for man’s ability to adapt to local climatic conditions. One good example of adaptability is the work of William Farrer. Australia had a problem with rust in the wheat crops, and it was William Farrer who experimented until he found a rust-proof strain of wheat.

However, these days Greenpeace activists are preventing scientists from discovering the means of improving the food chain due to their destruction of experimental crops. These experiments include trying to find a strain of potato that is blight free. It should be remembered that in the 1800s many Irish people perished because of the potato famine which was brought about by potato blight. Destroying this experimental crop is evidence that Greenpeace does not care about improving the potato strain so that potato blight is no longer a problem. Another crop that was destroyed by the Greenpeace activists was a crop of potatoes that was being developed to produce a polymer (to take the place of polymer produced from the production of oil). On the home front, Greenpeace destroyed a wheat crop that was being produced in order to find a strain of wheat that is gluten-free.

The modern followers of Malthus include Paul Erlich and David Suzuki as well as Holdren and a variety of other people who have expressed their opinions on population control. Yet there is more to the activities of Greenpeace and the scaremongers in general. They not only want to control the population, but they actually want developed countries to move backwards. They do not want us to use cars or most other forms of transport. They want us to stop using coal powered fire stations, yet they do not want us to use hydro-electric power, opting instead for the expensive and erratic alternatives of wind and solar.

 

 

Way above my pay grade but let’s think about the role of barometric pressure

The current discussion at Tallbloke’s Talkshop and What’s Up with that is something called “Unified Climate Theory”. It is way above my paygrade, but something that came to mind as I was trying to decipher the exchange regarding pressure, was the role of barometric pressure with regard to climate.

Something that is not well understood by both patients and doctors, is the way in which some people with arthritis are affected by changes in barometric pressure and the weather. This is something that I understand, and will openly giggle about because of the ability to predict (sometimes) the coming storm or changes in the weather.

As someone who has had a lot of ankle accidents, I had noticed by the time I was about 19 years of age that my ankle used to hurt a lot several hours before an oncoming storm. On one particular occasion, and much to my amusement I came within half an hour of predicting the start of the storm. This is probably the most extreme example of the occurrence. During this last winter it was bone chilling cold and by this I mean that the cold temperatures in Canberra caused my bones to chill. On top of that the nerves in my face were affected by strong winds. Now that it is summer again, and that bone pain has disappeared, but in its place is the nagging pain that causes me to limp because it affects my left ankle, when a storm is about to hit. It has happened several times in recent weeks.  This is what happens when someone is affected by “the weather”. The question to ask is whether or not such reactions are linked to barometric pressure.

What has this got to do with the subject of pressure and climate? Not a lot, if I was to try and understand the comments made at “What’s Up With That”. Yet, it was those comments that got me to thinking about barometric pressure. So what other times have I had some experience with pressure? The obvious one is inside an aircraft, since when flying my ears will pop as we begin to descend for a landing. In fact pressure could be the reason that I was unwell on the flight between Sydney and Los Angeles. 

The pressure inside an aircraft cabin is actually a good example for a number of reasons. The cabin in flight needs to be stable. If something happens that interferes with the air pressure inside the cabin, then it might be necessary to use the oxygen masks.

Another minor example relates to mountain climbing, where at certain heights it is necessary for the climbers to use oxygen tanks because the air is so thick and the oxygen is so thin. 

Despite these examples though, there is no way to clearly understand the role of various gases in the atmosphere. This is especially true about the role of carbon dioxide. I do think however, that it does not behave in the way as described by climate pseudo-scientists such as Mann, Hansen and Jones.

 
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Posted by on December 31, 2011 in Uncategorized

 

What is pollution?

Without a doubt as I was growing up in Melbourne Victoria Australia, I understood the meaning of pollution. In those years cars used leaded petrol and the discharge from the exhaust contributed to what I knew as smog. That smog was responsible for a range of illness in children, and it was very likely a major contributor to childhood asthma. Then again, there were other chemicals that also contributed to asthma, especially in an adult population.

This is something that is dear to my heart because I believe that my descent into rhinitis, hay fever and slight asthma derives from an experience in my pre-teen year. The particular incident occurred as a result of a factory that manufactured fly spray emitting particles into the air somewhere around the time that we just happened to be in that neighbourhood. The product concerned was Hunter fly spray. The factory released pyrethrins into the air. The reason that I have always suspected that I was exposed to this particular pollution is due to the fact that to this day I remain sensitive to the use of fly sprays containing pyrethrins. If anyone uses Mortein or similar sprays, then I find that my nose clogs up and I cannot breathe. I end up gasping for air. On top of that, I have to add here that a recent invention that hit the market in Australia, that is fly spray where the can would automatically spray into the air was just as bad for my respiratory system. This might explain why I became so ill at the beginning of this year, due to swallowing too much of that fly spray!! In the meantime, I continue to struggle with hay fever…

Now, I am not and never have been against the efforts that were made to clean up the air from smog. The introduction of the catalyctic converter for motor vehicles was the catalyst that allowed cars to run on unleaded petrol without all the pings and car engine damage. The result has been that both Melbourne and Sydney are virtually smog free. In the bad old days whenever we approached near an oil refinery, especially one that was near Sydney,  I would end up with a headache. However, that is no longer the case.

My point here is to show that I understand what real pollution actually means, and how an insignificant person such as myself was affected by oil refineries, paint fumes, bleach and a range of other items, and that the fumes actually made me quite sick. For this reason I actually applaud the legislation that has brought about positive change.

My other point is that the push on global climate change or man made globull warming has led to a redefining of the meaning of pollution. Instead of referring to the tangible and measurable things like air monitoring due to pollution from cars, these days there is talk about the pollution of light bulbs. Really?  The way in which these emissions are defined is actually quite a joke. Turning on a light in my home does not cause pollution.  There is nothing in my home where this can be easily measured.

Wait there is more. It is not just light bulbs that have been under attack, but there are things such as the electricity generating power stations that are alleged to be polluters. Really? They mostly emit steam.

If that is not enough to get anyone started then how about this one: an odourless, and colourless gas, that is carbon-dioxide is considered to be a pollutant. Really? We breathe out carbon dioxide!!

Then there are what I consider to be false comparative measurements for example comparing the cost of making a plastic bag vs making a cloth bag. Really? You can use the cloth bag over and over again, so why is it less efficient to use something that is re-usable?

The truth is that these folks cannot get their facts straight and it is more than time that we all began to question this “collective wisdom” because most of it is found to be “wanting”.

 
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Posted by on December 23, 2011 in health issues, pollution

 

It’s called an early spring, stupid

I do not have to be a scientist to understand that most warmists are simply clueless. Each time they open their mouths, something really stupid bursts forth. A good example of this would have to be the kind of comment that came because Canberra had a few warm days at the beginning of August. According to a local radio station extremely stupid warmista female, it had to be a sign of global warming. What utter garbage!!

As someone who is more than 50 years old, I have observed many changes in weather patterns since I was growing up in Melbourne, Victoria Australia. One remark that I had made was something along the lines of liking August because it was evidence that spring was on the way. Now how on earth would I come up with a remark like that if it was not for the fact that what I had observed happened to be that once August has arrived there are definite changes in the air, such as warmer days, more sunshine, blossoms starting to form, and new leaf growth on the trees.

Earlier this year we had what I considered to be an extremely early start to winter. By the end of March it was cold. April was quite chilly. Again this was unusual even for Canberra, where in other years we have had cold winds in May, but April was not as cold. This, however, is probably just a part of a normal weather cycle for the region, and there is no reason to be alarmed.

Now it is near the middle of December, in what is supposed to be summer. I have plenty of memories of December days that are a lot hotter than what we are experiencing here in Canberra. I can even remember sitting exams in Melbourne where the weather was not all that comfortable. I certainly cannot remember anything that is this cold…. but…. this is probably a party of a weather cycle pattern.

People need to be aware that a slight change in the micro climate of a region is not the same as something that is going on at some other level. I can cite my own experiences regarding weather, and I can simply turn around and treat with contempt those globull warming alarmists who are using changes in weather patterns as their excuse for raising the alarm about a non-existent problem. Climate changes all of the time. To me that is simply not an issue. It is called WEATHER CYCLES. Sometimes the cycles can be more than 100 years, other times they are a lot shorter, but the fact is that weather comes in cycles.  We know that the world has experienced both drought and floods in the ancient times. The Scripture actually refers to such periods, and often the drought was about 7 years in length. Here in Australia, drought is very much a part of the landscape. It has nothing to do with man-made globull warming, or even about “climate change” as it is preached by the warmistas.

Study after study that are being released at the present time contain very obvious errors to the point that one has to just laugh at the very notion of peer review. One such study relates to birds in Peru, and the conclusion there is “the fear that the birds will fry because they have not moved far enough”!!  (not a direct quote but is the gist of how I understand their conclusions). Yes it is indeed true that birds will die of heat exhaustion, especially if they do not have access to enough fresh water. Been there and done that!!  However, birds in the wild will move on when and if it is appropriate at the time. Birds are resiliant creatures. They do in fact enjoy the heat, but like other animals, when it gets hot they seek out the shade. Birds are really cool that way.

It is amazing that so much money is being wasted on these nonsense studies whaich continue to be based upon data that is totally corrupt and suspect – that is data from the CRU and/or associated with Michael Mann’s hockey stick hoax.

If these researchers want to be taken seriously then they need to jettison this nonsense and start again before drawing any conclusions about the migratory or non-migratory habits of birds in the Andes Mountains of Peru.

 

 
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Posted by on December 16, 2011 in Uncategorized